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Libyan Crisis. Romney Blew It. Just Like McCain Did in ’08

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Challenger Against Incumbent General Election Cardinal Rule # 1.

Never let the President Look Presidential While You The Challenger end up looking like a chump.

Let’s face it. Romney just handed POTUS a gift. Landed right in it, big time. Instead of waiting until all the facts were in, Romney blundered into attack mode on 9/11 of all days, and gave the Incumbent an unfettered opportunity to look like the boss on the foreign stage during the fast-moving Libyan Crisis.

Here was Romney’s opportunity to show his foreign policy teeth contrasting the President’s mealy-mouthed, wishy-washy, weak-ass approach to foreign affairs. Luckily he couldn’t keep his trap shut.

If he’d kept his powder dry and acted like his campaign actually knew what it was doing, Romney would have had a golden opportunity to say

“it’s easy to demand Justice NOW, Mr President. We all want Justice NOW. But you’re not going to get it, NOW OR EVER, because you gave away our prestige and our bargaining power by playing games in the Middle East that you had no business dabbling in. You didn’t have a plan and it shows.”

Luckily he can’t do that now. Chuckle.

Kind of reminds you of the moment that John McCain ‘took charge’ of the economy after the crash of ’08 which happened almost exactly the same time in the campaign. It’s unlikely to be so momentous as John’s dreadful excursion from reality, but for Romney, facing a Democratic leads that’s just starting to solidify, this little episode smells like the kind of panic that could stick.

Double chuckle.

Written by coolrebel

September 12, 2012 at 11:48 am

Romney Badly Needs Debate Zingers He’s Probably Not Going To Get

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The word on the streets is that Romney’s speech was okay. Sadly, for the GOP okay is not nearly good enough. Generating excitement in all the right places was what he needed to do and he did not get the job done.

The speech was ultimately a failure for a myriad of reasons.

  • It wasn’t unified by a single message.
  • It didn’t provide any substance.
  • It relied far too much on a mild attack on a personally popular incumbent.
  • Its appeals to key demographics were poorly focused. 
  • Clint Eastwood preceded it. 
The plan seemed to be this. Ryan did the wonk stuff, Romney delivered the vision thing. But the big picture part required a far strong rhetorical basis, and Romney’s delivery was lackluster and rushed. It wasn’t a bad show. It just wasn’t good enough.
On the final night of the DNC in Charlotte, President Obama will deliver a top quality speech that will be viewed by many millions of people. It will make the right appeals, with the right rhetorical beats and it will be effective.
What little bump Romney gets from last night will easily be overwhelmed by the DNC battering ram. 
And where will that leave Romney? 
The answer is simple. He’ll be relying on the debates to deliver hit-home zingers on the ice-man. Last time, Obama, a first-term senator with little national experience ate John veteran McCain’s lunch on both nights. This time, Barack Obama is a confident one-term President. He is not going to make any mistakes, and Mitt Romney is going to look real bad trying to get him to make them.
It’s possible that Obama can be derailed, but his 1-3 point leads in key swing states, while slim, are ironically solid. Those last points are the hardest for Romney to turn, and he’ll need a home run to get those swings. 
TINP doesn’t see it happening. 

Written by coolrebel

August 31, 2012 at 8:09 pm

The Senate Is The Key To November

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Richard Cohen’s piece in the Washington Post yesterday will go gently into the good night, another forgotten piece of wisdom in the deluge of dross commonly known as Election Season. That would be sad, so I’m going to do my part to have the piece and the implications it explores, at the very least, remembered, by someone, somewhere.

The core of the column is this. Romney is weak and if faced with a determined Congressional GOP hijacked by Grover Norquist and the hard-right, will buckle to their insanity. He has already indicated as much by embracing Paul Ryan’s frankly evil budget plans. And that is only the beginning.

But there’s more to this than meets the eye, because the key to whether Romney would buckle, or on the flip side, whether Obama has any hope of getting anything done is what happens in the 33 Senate Contests. We know that the math favors the GOP, and if the right can prevent Obama from getting momentum enough to push home downstream races, then they have a good shot at taking it back. If they keep the House – which is likely – then it’s game on.

Either Obama ( more likely ) will be President of the Veto Pen, or Romney ( less likely ) would be President Pantywaist, a willing tool of the bad guys as they tear this country asunder and delay the renewal of its glory for another decade or two or more.

If the Senate stays blue, then Romney can use the Democratic Senate as his excuse to be a nobody, and Obama can try to get stuff done as he’s gamely tried to do since the 2010 meltdown.

In other words, the equation is simple. GOP Senate plus Romney is real bad. Everything else. Meh.

Written by coolrebel

May 22, 2012 at 12:50 pm